Checks Decisions Cohorts Sources Claims Source types PRISM · Release v1
Evidence by decision Each bar is the share of all 300 included launches whose confirmed check states let the deterministic gate support the decision on public evidence. The gate, not a model, decides.
Figure 7. Evidence by decisionshare of included launches whose confirmed check states let the deterministic gate support the decision Figure 7. Evidence by decision Keep exploring: <10. Permit reliance for the named use: <10. Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedly: <10. Determine whether the initiative changed the result: <10. Scale, renew, expand, or stop: <10 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Keep exploring Keep exploring: Fewer than 10 launches; suppressed by disclosure control <10 Permit reliance for the named use Permit reliance for the named use: Fewer than 10 launches; suppressed by disclosure control <10 Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedly Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedly: Fewer than 10 launches; suppressed by disclosure control <10 Determine whether the initiative changed the result Determine whether the initiative changed the result: Fewer than 10 launches; suppressed by disclosure control <10 Scale, renew, expand, or stop Scale, renew, expand, or stop: Fewer than 10 launches; suppressed by disclosure control <10
How we know
Launches counted N = 300 included launches. Launches with no evidence found stay in the denominator. Agreement Agreement with an independent labeller: AC1 0.72–0.89 across the shown checks (not estimable for 20); per check on the Validation page . Agreement not estimable for 3 shown checks (fewer than ten gold passes); those figures are descriptive. Labeller: glm-5.3-flash on Ollama Cloud.
Changed at confirmation 39.4% of proposed positives changed at confirmation (26% rejected, 14% downgraded to claimed). Confirmer: nemotron-3-ultra on Ollama Cloud.
Who checked Agent roles, no human edits. Share human-edited: 0%.
Sensitivity Excluding the 0 launches whose site could not be read: Keep exploring: <10; Permit reliance for the named use: <10; Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedly: <10; Determine whether the initiative changed the result: <10; Scale, renew, expand, or stop: <10.
Release Release v1, 2026-10-25. Data: public-data/release.json. Table view