Each bar is the share of all 300 included launches that publicly evidence the check with an artefact linked. Launches with no public evidence found stay in every denominator.
Figure 2. Checks for the decision: Keep exploringshare of included launches that publicly evidence the check (confirmed pass)Table view
Figure 2. Checks for the decision: Keep exploring
Row
Launches
Share
95% CI
The artefact or action can be reproduced or inspected.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Important supplied context, assumptions, and inferences are visible.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Figure 3. Checks for the decision: Permit reliance for the named useshare of included launches that publicly evidence the check (confirmed pass)
At least 169 of 300 launches publicly evidence The intended use and boundaries are explicit (56%, 95% CI 51–62%).
At least 162 of 300 launches publicly evidence Known limitations and out-of-scope conditions are stated (54%, 95% CI 48–60%).
Table view
Figure 3. Checks for the decision: Permit reliance for the named use
Row
Launches
Share
95% CI
The intended use and boundaries are explicit.
169 of 300
56%
51–62%
Acceptance criteria are explicit and testable enough for the use.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Evidence shows the acceptance criteria were met.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Relevant failure modes and fallback behaviour were evaluated.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Known limitations and out-of-scope conditions are stated.
162 of 300
54%
48–60%
Figure 4. Checks for the decision: Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedlyshare of included launches that publicly evidence the check (confirmed pass)
At least 44 of 300 launches publicly evidence Fallback or escalation is defined (15%, 95% CI 11–19%).
At least 104 of 300 launches publicly evidence The relevant operating-cost boundary is known well enough for the decision (35%, 95% CI 30–40%).
Table view
Figure 4. Checks for the decision: Sell, operate, support, or staff repeatedly
Row
Launches
Share
95% CI
The Deliverable gate for the intended use has passed. (agreement not estimable: fewer than ten gold passes)
<10
Operational ownership is explicit.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
The assurance mechanism is defined for the important failure modes.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Fallback or escalation is defined.
44 of 300
15%
11–19%
Recovery or rollback has been tested where failure consequence warrants it. (agreement not estimable: fewer than ten gold passes)
<10
Support, maintenance, debugging, and change responsibility are defined.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
The relevant operating-cost boundary is known well enough for the decision.
104 of 300
35%
30–40%
Figure 5. Checks for the decision: Determine whether the initiative changed the resultshare of included launches that publicly evidence the check (confirmed pass)Table view
Figure 5. Checks for the decision: Determine whether the initiative changed the result
Row
Launches
Share
95% CI
The outcome measure is defined.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
A comparable baseline or counterfactual is defined.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
The outcome was measured after the intervention.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Before/after measurements use the same relevant definition. (agreement not estimable: fewer than ten gold passes)
<10
Material confounds, uncertainty, or attribution limits are named.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Figure 6. Checks for the decision: Scale, renew, expand, or stopshare of included launches that publicly evidence the check (confirmed pass)Table view
Figure 6. Checks for the decision: Scale, renew, expand, or stop
Row
Launches
Share
95% CI
Outcome evidence relevant to the decision is available.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
The full relevant cost boundary is accounted for.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Material risks and trade-offs are assessed.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
Reasonable alternatives or the status quo are compared.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule
The rule for scale, renew, expand, or stop is explicit.
withheld: withheld under the pre-registered shortfall rule